We said: Columbus Crew 3-2 Los Angeles FC
These are two deserving finalists with plenty of experienced players who have a knack for showing up in big moments, and indeed, this encounter could go either way.
In the end, we have a little more faith in Nancy, who always seems to get his tactics right, while his side may have a psychological edge, having thumped LAFC earlier in the 2024 MLS campaign (5-1).
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.