League Two

League Two | Gameweek 11

Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK

Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
4 - 3
Port Vale

Milsom (36'), Garrity (69' og.), Randall (87'), Rowe (90+1')
Bouzanis (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Smith (21'), Proctor (28'), Conlon (78')
Smith (42'), Gibbons (47'), Worrall (67'), Jones (81'), Lloyd (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Port Vale
38.72%	28.98%	32.3%

Both teams to score 44.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.97%

62.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.24%

81.76%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91%

31.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59%

67.4%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.67%

35.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92%

72.08%

Score Analysis

Sutton United 38.72%

Port Vale 32.29%

Draw 28.98%

Sutton United	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 12.83% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.05% Total : 38.72%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.98%	0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.1% Total : 32.29%