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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Harrogate Town | 6 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Stockport County | 6 | -3 | 4 |
20 | Colchester United | 6 | -5 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Carlisle United | 5 | 1 | 8 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 0 | 8 |
13 | Sutton United | 6 | 0 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 62.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
62.54% ( -0.93) | 22.36% ( 0.32) | 15.1% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 44.4% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.37% ( -0.16) | 52.63% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.72% ( -0.13) | 74.28% ( 0.13) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.67% ( -0.37) | 16.32% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.08% ( -0.67) | 45.91% ( 0.67) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.06% ( 0.78) | 46.94% ( -0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.56% ( 0.58) | 82.44% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 13.88% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.78% Total : 62.52% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.23% Total : 15.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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