Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.