Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
