Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
