Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.