Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.