League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
2 - 4
Portsmouth

Akins (14'), Naylor (20' og.)
Hemmings (77')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Harness (2', 47', 74'), Whatmough (60')
Harrison (25')

Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Portsmouth.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Portsmouth
34.76%	26.7%	38.54%

Both teams to score 51.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.74%

53.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19%

74.81%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83%

29.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89%

65.11%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07%

26.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.74%

62.26%

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 34.76%

Portsmouth 38.53%

Draw 26.7%

Burton Albion	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.76%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.76% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.53%