Drogheda

2 - 4

Shelbourne

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.