MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 07:35:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Shelbourne
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 33
Oct 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
Dundalk

Shelbourne
1 - 0
Dundalk

Jarvis (4')
Wood (37'), Farrell (75'), Ledwidge (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kelly (27'), Horgan (45'), Davies (45+1'), Brownlie (70'), O'Donnell (75'), Martin (81'), Malley (90+7')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Shelbourne
Friday, September 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-1 Drogheda
Friday, September 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shelbourne in this match.

Result
ShelbourneDrawDundalk
46.23% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 25.12% (0.0019999999999989 0) 28.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)48.68% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)70.79% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92%21.08% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)53.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)31% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)67.3% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 46.23%
    Dundalk 28.65%
    Draw 25.11%
ShelbourneDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.65%
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 28.65%

How you voted: Shelbourne vs Dundalk

Shelbourne
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Dundalk
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 26
Dundalk
1-1
Shelbourne
Martin (39')
Sloggett (54'), Brownlie (68'), Yli-Kokko (72')
Wood (83')
Quinn (21'), Coyle (57'), Griffin (90+3')
Apr 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Shelbourne
1-1
Dundalk
Moylan (56' pen.)
Tulloch (81')
Mar 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Dundalk
2-1
Shelbourne
Tulloch (47'), Boyle (68')
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Dundalk
0-0
Shelbourne
Bone (80')
Molloy (44')
Jun 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Shelbourne
0-0
Dundalk
O'Driscoll (74'), Lunney (84'), Byrne (90+2'), Boyd (90+4')
Benson (6')
rhs 2.0
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