MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 15:49:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 35
Nov 3, 2024 at 5am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Machida Zelvia

Suzuki (20'), Terayama (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dresevic (66')
Fujio (73')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Machida Zelvia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 19 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, October 19 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawMachida Zelvia
28.23% (0.426 0.43) 26.15% (0.439 0.44) 45.62% (-0.868 -0.87)
Both teams to score 50.95% (-1.053 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88% (-1.506 -1.51)53.12% (1.503 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (-1.294 -1.29)74.69% (1.291 1.29)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.467 -0.47)33.63% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.509 -0.51)70.28% (0.506 0.51)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-1.042 -1.04)23.22% (1.038 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-1.542 -1.54)57.13% (1.538 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 28.23%
    Machida Zelvia 45.62%
    Draw 26.14%
Sagan TosuDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.391 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.77% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.64% (0.156 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.23%
1-1 @ 12.42% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.452 0.45)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 11.4% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 8.33% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.62%

Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 6am
Gameweek 5
Machida Zelvia
3-1
Sagan Tosu
Fujimoto (5'), Oh (54', 57')
Suzuki (45')
Ryan (34')
Harada (10'), Naganuma (51'), Yamazaki (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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