Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.