Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ashdod win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Hapoel Tel Aviv	Draw	Ashdod
32.5% ( -0.56)	26.7% ( 0.03)	40.81% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 51.28% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.36% (

-0.27)

53.64% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.86% (

-0.23)

75.14% (

0.23)

Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17% (

-0.51)

30.83% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.89% (

-0.6)

67.11% (

0.6)

Ashdod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.13% (

0.16)

25.87% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.15% (

0.21)

60.85% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Tel Aviv 32.5%

Ashdod 40.8%

Draw 26.69%

Hapoel Tel Aviv	Draw	Ashdod
1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.5%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.8%