Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 34.76%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.85%) and 1-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-0 (13.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.
