MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:30:45| >> :60:10:10:
Ecuador national football team
International Friendly
Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
 
Iraq national football team

Ecuador
0 - 0
Iraq


Attwan (14'), Razzaq Farhan (53'), Bayesh (65'), Younis (81')
FT

Reasco (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's International Friendlies clash between Iraq and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Iraq
Wednesday, November 9 at 3am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Iraq vs. Belgium
Tuesday, November 15 at 12am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Japan
Tuesday, September 27 at 12.55pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Qatar vs. Ecuador
Sunday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup

We said: Iraq 1-1 Ecuador

It is always difficult to know exactly what to expect from international friendlies, especially this close to a major tournament. Ecuador will be wanting to enter the World Cup off the back of a win, but they will be missing a number of important players for this match, and we can therefore see a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Iraq win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
EcuadorDrawIraq
38.31% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 26.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 34.86% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.25% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.74% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.22% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)27.28% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)62.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (0.037999999999997 0.04)29.34% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (0.048999999999999 0.05)65.32% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 38.3%
    Iraq 34.86%
    Draw 26.83%
EcuadorDrawIraq
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.3%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.86%

How you voted: Iraq vs Ecuador

Iraq
31.6%
Draw
10.5%
Ecuador
57.9%
19
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!