Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Fehervar and MTK.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Varda SE 1-0 Fehervar
Sunday, April 28 at 2.15pm in Hungarian NB I
Sunday, April 28 at 2.15pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: MTK 1-2 Ferencvaros
Sunday, April 28 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Sunday, April 28 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Goals
for
for
41
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for MTK had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fehervar | Draw | MTK |
42.59% ( 0.68) | 23.08% ( 0.02) | 34.33% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 64.45% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
