Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.

Result
Paksi SE	Draw	Varda SE
50.3% ( -0.2)	24.44% ( 0.01)	25.26% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 53.85% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83% (

0.13)

48.17% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.67% (

0.12)

70.33% (

-0.12)

Paksi SE Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.83% (

-0.03)

19.17% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.16% (

-0.05)

50.84% (

0.05)

Varda SE Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62% (

0.23)

33.38% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.99% (

0.25)

70.01% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Paksi SE 50.3%

Varda SE 25.26%

Draw 24.43%

Paksi SE	Draw	Varda SE
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.3%	1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.26%