Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Nyiregyhaza Spartacus win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.