Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puskas Academy win with a probability of 53.35%. A win for MTK had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puskas Academy win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest MTK win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puskas Academy would win this match.

Result
MTK	Draw	Puskas Academy
23.76% ( 0.39)	22.89% ( -0.02)	53.35% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 57.34% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.22% (

0.49)

42.78% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.82% (

0.49)

65.19% (

-0.49)

MTK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.28% (

0.6)

31.72% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.86% (

0.68)

68.14% (

-0.68)

Puskas Academy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.98% (

0.05)

16.02% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.64% (

0.09)

45.36% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

MTK 23.76%

Puskas Academy 53.35%

Draw 22.88%

MTK	Draw	Puskas Academy
2-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 23.76%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.88%	1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 53.35%