Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Groupama Arena
Ferencvaros6 - 1Paksi SE
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Ferencvaros and Paksi SE.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zalgiris 0-4 Ferencvaros
Thursday, August 24 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 24 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Paksi SE 3-0 Ujpest
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 70.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Paksi SE had a probability of 12.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Paksi SE win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Paksi SE |
70.87% ( 0.03) | 16.64% ( -0.02) | 12.48% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.6% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.09% ( 0.03) | 32.91% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.37% ( 0.04) | 54.62% ( -0.04) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.76% ( 0.01) | 8.24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.2% ( 0.04) | 28.8% ( -0.04) |
| Paksi SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.68% ( -0.01) | 38.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.92% ( -0) | 75.07% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Ferencvaros 70.87%
Paksi SE 12.48%
Draw 16.64%
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Paksi SE |
| 2-0 @ 9.84% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.35% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 70.87% | 1-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.2% Total : 16.64% | 1-2 @ 3.63% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 12.48% |
