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Hull logo
Championship | Gameweek 45
Jul 18, 2020 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Luton Town

Hull City
0 - 1
Luton


Lopes (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
LuaLua (85')
Collins (56'), Rea (73')

Preview: Hull City vs. Luton Town - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Luton Town, including team news and predicted lineups.

Crisis club Hull City will be looking to bounce back from a humiliating defeat last time out when they take on fellow bottom-three side Luton Town on Saturday afternoon.

The Tigers suffered an 8-0 loss to Wigan Athletic on Tuesday to leave them level on points with Luton, who earned a draw against Queens Park Rangers on the same day.


Match preview

Grant McCann in charge of Hull City on August 3, 2019© Reuters

Hull conceded seven first-half goals against Wigan and let in one more in the second half to equal the worst defeat in Championship history.

It also marked the Tigers' heaviest loss in more than a century and boss Grant McCann - already under pressure before the embarrassing loss - is now living on borrowed time.

McCann will remain in charge for this penultimate game of a horror campaign for Hull, which has taken on even more significance on the back of the thrashing against Wigan.

Incredibly, despite being hit with an impending 12-point deduction, Wigan are still above City on goal difference and very much have momentum on their side.

The good news for Hull, who have won just one of their 18 matches since New Year's Day, is that it remains incredibly tight at the bottom and one win could change everything.

Luton manager Nathan Jones pictured on June 27, 2020© Reuters

Luton have given themselves every hope of climbing out of the dropzone ahead of games with Hull and Blackburn Rovers, having lost just one of their last 10 league games.

Nathan Jones returned to the club during the lockdown and can be pleased with a return of 10 points from his seven matches in charge, though it may not be enough.

Tuesday's draw with QPR will go down as an opportunity missed for the Hatters, with Dominic Ball cancelling out James Collins's penalty to earn the mid-table visitors a point.

Hull and Luton now have a two-point gap to make up on Charlton Athletic in 21st, while Huddersfield Town in 20th are a further point better off.

Snookers are needed from both sides' perspective, then, and anything other than victory in this huge clash may well bring an end to their respective stays in the second tier.

Hull City's Championship form: DWLLLL

Luton Town's Championship competition form: WDLDWD


Team News

Hull's Tom Eaves celebrates in November 2019© Reuters

Luton boss Jones named the same starting lineup for the win over Huddersfield and draw with QPR.

That may prove to be the case once again on Saturday, although Kazenga LuaLua has built up his fitness and is pushing for a recall.

Martin Cranie, George Moncur and Danny Hylton will also be hopeful of earning a place in the XI after being brought on against QPR.

As for Hull, Matthew Pennington, Jon Toral and Josh Magennis were recalled for the Wigan demolition.

McCann will surely heavily rotate for Saturday's clash, however, which could mean Angus MacDonald, Kevin Stewart and Tom Eaves being brought back in.

That is despite Eaves going eight games without a goal since February's 4-4 draw with Swansea City.

Hull City possible starting lineup:
Long; Burke, MacDonald, Wijs, Elder; Stewart; Bowler, Lopes, Honeyman, Wilks; Eaves

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Sluga; Bree, Carter-Vickers, Bradley, Potts; Mpanzu; Shinnie, Berry, Lee; Cornick, Collins


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Hull City 0-1 Luton Town

Quite how Hull will react to their eight-goal thrashing at the hands of Wigan - a fourth defeat on the spin - remains to be seen. Luton have made themselves tough to beat of late and now need to turn draws into wins, with this trip to the KCOM Stadium presenting them with a huge opportunity to do exactly that.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.


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Luton manager Nathan Jones pictured on June 27, 2020
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