Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 64.78%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.