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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
AEK Athens

Asteras
1 - 1
AEK Athens

Regis (58')
Barrales (28'), Sito (51'), Riera (53'), Iglesias (69'), Munafo (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Amrabat (52' pen.)
Szymanski (73'), Araujo (76')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAS Giannina 2-1 Asteras
Monday, October 31 at 4pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 2-0 PAOK
Sunday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Asteras TripolisDrawAEK Athens
25.14% (0.754 0.75) 28.55% (0.231 0.23) 46.31% (-0.981 -0.98)
Both teams to score 42.21% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.78% (-0.274 -0.27)63.22% (0.276 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.37% (-0.198 -0.2)82.63% (0.2 0.2)
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.18% (0.546 0.55)41.82% (-0.543 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.72% (0.471 0.47)78.28% (-0.46899999999999 -0.47)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (-0.625 -0.63)27.45% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (-0.817 -0.82)62.93% (0.821 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Asteras Tripolis 25.13%
    AEK Athens 46.31%
    Draw 28.54%
Asteras TripolisDrawAEK Athens
1-0 @ 10% (0.242 0.24)
2-1 @ 5.64% (0.125 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 1.64% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 25.13%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 11.47% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 14.84% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 9.59% (-0.245 -0.25)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.14% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 46.31%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 5pm
AEK Athens
2-1
Asteras
Araujo (24'), Tzavellas (81')
Simoes (33'), Michelin (76'), Szymanski (90+1')
Barrales (56')
Alvarez (18'), Atienza (23'), Luis Valiente (70'), Munafo (79')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Asteras
0-0
AEK Athens

Luis Valiente (57'), Garcia (85')

Amrabat (26'), Vranjes (36'), Simoes (61')
May 12, 2021 5.30pm
Asteras
1-1
AEK Athens
Kotsiras (63')
Castano (90+2')
Ansarifard (56')
Galanopoulos (80'), Vasilantonopoulos (80')
Apr 18, 2021 3.15pm
AEK Athens
3-1
Asteras
Galanopoulos (39'), Lopes (85'), Albanis (90+5')
Mantalos (35')
Riera (41')
Luis Valiente (35')
Feb 20, 2021 5.30pm
AEK Athens
2-2
Asteras
Szymanski (40', 68')
Svarnas (24')
Fernandez (15'), Suarez (18')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Aris ThessalonikiAris116321710721
2AEK AthensAEK Athens116321641221
3OlympiacosOlympiacos11632179821
4PAOKPAOK116231912720
5PanathinaikosPanathinaikos11542107319
6PanetolikosPanetolikos11533128418
7Asteras TripolisAsteras114431210216
8OFI CreteOFI Crete114341619-315
9AtromitosAtromitos114251616014
10Panserraikos113171421-710
11Volos11317918-910
12LevadiakosLevadiakos111641219-79
13Kallithea11074816-87
14LamiaLamia11146817-97


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