Greek Superleague | Gameweek 11

Nov 6, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis

Asteras
1 - 1
AEK Athens

Regis (58')
Barrales (28'), Sito (51'), Riera (53'), Iglesias (69'), Munafo (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Amrabat (52' pen.)
Szymanski (73'), Araujo (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens.

Form, Standings, Stats

Asteras Tripolis

All competitions

Last Game: PAS Giannina 2-1 Asteras
Monday, October 31 at 4pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

AEK Athens

All competitions

Last Game: AEK Athens 2-0 PAOK
Sunday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Asteras Tripolis	Draw	AEK Athens
25.14% ( 0.75)	28.55% ( 0.23)	46.31% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 42.21% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.78% (

-0.27)

63.22% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.37% (

-0.2)

82.63% (

0.2)

Asteras Tripolis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.18% (

0.55)

41.82% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.72% (

0.47)

78.28% (

-0.47)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.55% (

-0.63)

27.45% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.07% (

-0.82)

62.93% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Asteras Tripolis 25.13%

AEK Athens 46.31%

Draw 28.54%

Asteras Tripolis	Draw	AEK Athens
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.17% Total : 25.13%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.54%	0-1 @ 14.84% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.7% Total : 46.31%