Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for an Atromitos win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.