Greek Superleague | Gameweek 5

Apr 14, 2024 at 6.30pm UK

Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

AEK Athens
2 - 0
Aris

Ponce (9', 14')
Callens (34'), Gacinovic (60')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Verstraete (6'), Saverio (20'), Brabec (49'), Fattore (73'), Odubajo (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEK Athens and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions

Last Game: AEK Athens 2-2 PAOK
Sunday, April 7 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions

Last Game: Aris 0-2 Panathinaikos
Sunday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 75.67%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 8.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12%) and 3-0 (10.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AEK Athens in this match.

Result
AEK Athens	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
75.67% ( 0.02)	16.03%	8.3% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 42.32% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.98% (

-0.06)

43.02% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.58% (

-0.07)

65.42% (

0.07)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.34% (

-0.01)

9.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.76% (

-0.03)

32.24% (

0.03)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.84% (

-0.09)

53.16% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.25% (

-0.06)

86.75% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

AEK Athens 75.66%

Aris Thessaloniki 8.3%

Draw 16.03%

AEK Athens	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
2-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 12% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.05% Total : 75.66%	1-1 @ 7.59% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 16.03%	0-1 @ 3.25% 1-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 8.3%