Greek Superleague | Gameweek 13

Dec 4, 2023 at 7pm UK

Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

AEK Athens
1 - 0
Aris

Vida (59')
Vida (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Darida (24')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEK Athens and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions

Greek Superleague

Last Game: AEK Athens 0-1 Brighton
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions

Last Game: Aris 2-0 Panathinaikos
Sunday, November 26 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 16.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AEK Athens in this match.

Result
AEK Athens	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
61.11% ( -0.76)	22.18% ( 0.42)	16.7% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 48.31% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.79% (

-1.17)

49.21% (

1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.72% (

-1.06)

71.27% (

1.06)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.37% (

-0.64)

15.63% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.36% (

-1.2)

44.64% (

1.2)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.26% (

-0.27)

42.73% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.93% (

-0.23)

79.06% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

AEK Athens 61.1%

Aris Thessaloniki 16.7%

Draw 22.18%

AEK Athens	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.12% Total : 61.1%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.81% Total : 22.18%	0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.7%