Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz II win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Grosuplje had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Grosuplje win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz II would win this match.