Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Louviere win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Red Star had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a La Louviere win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Red Star win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that La Louviere would win this match.