Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Eupen win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elversberg would win this match.