MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 18:54:56| >> :60:40:40:
AFC Wimbledon
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford logo

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 5
Brentford

Lewis (2'), Stevens (81')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Thiago (23', 31'), Wissa (45' pen.), Schade (66'), Mbeumo (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between AFC Wimbledon and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Met Police 0-3 AFC Wimbledon
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.15pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Brentford 2-4 Newcastle
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-3 Brentford

Even though a septet of key Brentford players are still on their summer holidays, Frank can still put out a team brimming with Premier League experience, and Saturday's tie should only end with one result. An expected raft of second-half changes has the potential to halt the Bees' momentum, but they should still run into little trouble against Wimbledon, whose 100% pre-season record should come to a swift end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawBrentford
49.74% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 23.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 26.53% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.41% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (0.039999999999999 0.04)44.02% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (0.038000000000004 0.04)66.41% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.2% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.8% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.48% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (0.042000000000002 0.04)30.16% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69% (0.049999999999997 0.05)66.31% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 49.74%
    Brentford 26.53%
    Draw 23.72%
AFC WimbledonDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 49.74%
1-1 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 26.53%

Head to Head
Jul 17, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Brentford
Valencia (42')
Jul 5, 2019 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
AFC Wimbledon
0-3
Brentford
Nightingale (56' og.), Norgaard (82'), Watkins (84')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Brentford
Robinson (25')
Oshilaja (85')
Sawyers (69'), Watkins (105'), Shaibu (119')
Sawyers (60')
Sep 3, 2013 7pm
First Round
Brentford
5-3
AFC Wimbledon
El Allagui (42', 54'), Norris (52'), Nugent (64'), Venta (69')
Fenlon (56'), Francomb (82'), Sweeney (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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