FA Cup

FA Cup | Fifth Round

Mar 1, 2022 at 7.15pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
0 - 2
Man City

Szmodics (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mahrez (60'), Grealish (67')
Ake (17'), Fernandinho (70')

Fernandinho hands Oleksandr Zinchenko captaincy for Manchester City's FA Cup tie

Manchester City's club captain Fernandinho hands over the armband to Oleksandr Zinchenko for their FA Cup fifth-round tie at Peterborough United.

Mar 1, 19:18

The Match

We said: Peterborough United 0-3 Manchester City

Peterborough will see this match as a free hit, but it is very difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable away victory. Man City's team will be full of quality even if Guardiola makes five or six changes, so the English champions should have far too much for their Championship opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 84.03%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 4.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.27%) and 0-1 (12.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.34%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 1-0 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Manchester City
4.11%	11.87%	84.03%

Both teams to score 31.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.18%

41.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.77%

64.23%

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

34.41%

65.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.75%

93.25%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.58%

7.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.27%

26.72%

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 4.11%

Manchester City 84.01%

Draw 11.87%

Peterborough United	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 2.05% 2-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.93% Total : 4.11%	1-1 @ 5.34% 0-0 @ 4.87% 2-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.19% Total : 11.87%	0-2 @ 16.46% 0-3 @ 14.27% 0-1 @ 12.66% 0-4 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 6.02% 0-5 @ 4.83% 1-4 @ 3.92% 0-6 @ 2.09% 1-5 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 4.22% Total : 84.01%