FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Replays

Nov 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
1 - 2
Rochdale

White (63' og.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Andrews (15'), Beesley (90')
Dorsett (72')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Replays clash between Notts County and Rochdale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Rochdale
39.93%	24.58%	35.49%

Both teams to score 59.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.17%

43.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.79%

66.21%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06%

21.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.77%

55.22%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.75%

24.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.39%

58.61%

Score Analysis

Notts County 39.93%

Rochdale 35.49%

Draw 24.58%

Notts County	Draw	Rochdale
2-1 @ 8.67% 1-0 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.93%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.58%	1-2 @ 8.1% 0-1 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.9% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.49%