FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Leylands Park
Burgess Hill Town2 - 1AFC Croydon Athletic
Cooper (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Burgess Hill Town and AFC Croydon Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burgess Hill Town 2-1 Eastbourne Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: AFC Croydon Athletic 4-0 VCD Athletic
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgess Hill Town win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for AFC Croydon Athletic had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgess Hill Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.56%) and 3-1 (5.07%). The likeliest AFC Croydon Athletic win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burgess Hill Town in this match.
Result | ||
Burgess Hill Town | Draw | AFC Croydon Athletic |
41.61% | 22.3% | 36.1% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 67.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.59% | 32.42% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.95% ( 0) | 54.05% ( -0) |
Burgess Hill Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.61% ( -0) | 16.4% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.96% ( 0) | 46.04% ( -0) |
AFC Croydon Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% ( -0) | 18.75% |