Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Bath City win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aldershot Town in this match.