We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 1-2 Slavia Prague
Ludogorets have enjoyed a solid winning run domestically, although they have already shown their frailties against decent opposition in Europe so far this season.
Slavia Prague narrowly missed out on Champions League qualification, so they should be confident of making serious waves in this campaign's Europa League.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Slavia Prague win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Slavia Prague would win this match.