Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Molde had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.46%) and 3-2 (4.99%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.