Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Estadio Benito Villamarin

Betis
2 - 1
Sparta Prague

Diao (9'), Isco (79')
Rodriguez (11'), Diao (45+4'), Ruibal (58'), Vinicius (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Birmancevic (3')
Haraslin (15'), Birmancevic (45+5'), Rynes (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Real Betis and Sparta Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Betis

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Betis 3-0 Valencia
Sunday, October 1 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Prague

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-1 Plzen
Saturday, September 30 at 5pm in Czech Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Real Betis 2-0 Sparta Prague

Following their disappointing defeat in the opening group game, Real Betis will be keen to bounce back on Thursday, and with home advantage on their side, we fancy them to outclass the Czech visitors and put their first three points on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real Betis	Draw	Sparta Prague
28.89% ( -1.02)	26.74% ( -0.31)	44.37% ( 1.33)

Both teams to score 49.59% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.93% (

0.73)

55.07% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.68% (

0.6)

76.33% (

-0.6)

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.85% (

-0.39)

34.15% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.16% (

-0.42)

70.84% (

0.42)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.32% (

24.68% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.78% (

1.38)

59.22% (

-1.38)

Score Analysis

Real Betis 28.89%

Sparta Prague 44.37%

Draw 26.74%

Real Betis	Draw	Sparta Prague
1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 28.89%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.47% Total : 44.37%