MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 20:40:54| >> :600:932597:932597:
Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Štadión Antona Malatinského
Rakow

Spartak Trnava
0 - 2
Rakow


Daniel (35'), Yusuf (38'), Bukata (45'), Mikovic (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ivi (30', 45+1' pen.)
Czyz (82')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Spartak Trnava and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Newtown 1-2 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Astana 0-1 Rakow
Thursday, July 28 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.35%) and 1-3 (4.96%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.

Result
Spartak TrnavaDrawRakow Czestochowa
37.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 22.21% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 40.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 68.44% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.18% (0.052999999999997 0.05)31.81% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.65% (0.064 0.06)53.35% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Spartak Trnava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03)17.99% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15% (0.049999999999997 0.05)48.84% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (0.018999999999991 0.02)16.54% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.68% (0.037999999999997 0.04)46.31% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Spartak Trnava 37.18%
    Rakow Czestochowa 40.6%
    Draw 22.21%
Spartak TrnavaDrawRakow Czestochowa
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 37.18%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.43% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.21%
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.3%
3-4 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 40.6%

How you voted: Spartak Trnava vs Rakow

Spartak Trnava
23.1%
Draw
26.9%
Rakow Czestochowa
50.0%
26
rhs 2.0
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