Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mikheil Meskhis Sakhelobis Stadionis Satadarigo Moedani
Saburtalo Tbilisi0 - 1Istanbul
Ali Sahiner (21'), Nonikashvili (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Saburtalo Tbilisi and Istanbul Basaksehir.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Partizani Tirana 0-0 Saburtalo Tbilisi
Thursday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: La Fiorita 0-4 Istanbul
Thursday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 50.97%. A win for Saburtalo Tbilisi had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Saburtalo Tbilisi win was 1-0 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Istanbul Basaksehir in this match.
| Result | ||
| Saburtalo Tbilisi | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
25.13% ( -0.88) | 23.9% ( -0.27) | 50.97% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
