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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Istanbul Basaksehir
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
2 - 0
Saburtalo Tbilisi

Piatek (50'), Pelkas (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mamageishvili (3'), Nonikashvili (40'), Jgerenaia (43'), Kokhreidze (60'), Akhvlediani (72'), Jinjolava (72')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Saburtalo Tbilisi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 1-1 Istanbul
Monday, August 12 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig

Saburtalo Tbilisi

All competitions
Last Game: Saburtalo Tbilisi 0-1 Istanbul
Thursday, August 8 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Saburtalo Tbilisi had a probability of 18.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Saburtalo Tbilisi win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawSaburtalo Tbilisi
60.41% (-0.162 -0.16) 20.76% (0.064 0.06) 18.83% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 57.19% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.51% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)39.49% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.17% (-0.158 -0.16)61.83% (0.158 0.16)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.31% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)12.68% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.13% (-0.193 -0.19)38.87% (0.194 0.19)
Saburtalo Tbilisi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (0.010999999999996 0.01)34.49% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (0.012 0.01)71.21% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 60.41%
    Saburtalo Tbilisi 18.83%
    Draw 20.76%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawSaburtalo Tbilisi
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 9.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 60.41%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.76%
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 18.83%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Saburtalo Tbilisi

Istanbul Basaksehir
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Saburtalo Tbilisi
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2024 5pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Saburtalo Tbilisi
0-1
Istanbul

Ali Sahiner (21'), Nonikashvili (51')
Davidson (87')
Sylla (21'), Piatek (45'), Ergun (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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