UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 21, 2022 at 6pm UK

Vivacom Arena - Georgi Asparuhov

Levski Sofia
2 - 0
PAOK

(Levski Sofia win 3-1 on aggregate)

Felipe (1'), Bari (19')
Felipe (28'), Galchev (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Zivkovic (56'), Kurtic (81'), Narey (82'), Douglas (84'), Sastre (90')

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Levski Sofia and PAOK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Levski Sofia

Last Game: Levski Sofia 0-4 Larnaca
Thursday, August 1 at 5.30pm in Europa League Qualifying

PAOK

Last Six:

Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Olympiacos	25	34	65
2	PAOK	25	24	50
3	AEK Athens	25	13	43

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Levski Sofia had a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Levski Sofia win it was 1-0 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Levski Sofia	Draw	PAOK
24.31% ( -0)	25.56% ( 0.04)	50.12% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 49.49% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.54% (

-0.16)

53.45% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.02% (

-0.14)

74.98% (

0.13)

Levski Sofia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.92% (

-0.09)

37.08% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.13% (

-0.09)

73.86% (

0.09)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.65% (

-0.08)

21.34% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.69% (

-0.13)

54.31% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Levski Sofia 24.31%

PAOK 50.12%

Draw 25.55%

Levski Sofia	Draw	PAOK
1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 24.31%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 50.12%