MX23RW : Friday, November 8 00:38:38| >> :120:9050:9050:
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Savon Sanomat Areena
Derry City

KuPS
3 - 3
Derry

Tuominen (24'), Savolainen (44', 58')
Oksanen (62'), Yengi (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kavanagh (13'), Diallo (55'), Duffy (69')
McEleney (9'), Dummigan (45+3'), Diallo (76'), Doherty (90+5')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between KuPS and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: KuPS 2-0 KTP
Sunday, July 30 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Derry 2-1 KuPS
Thursday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 27.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
KuPSDrawDerry City
44.21% (0.0040000000000049 0) 28.62% (0.0010000000000012 0) 27.17% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.58% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)62.42% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.96% (-0.012 -0.01)82.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
KuPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.16% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)63.85%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)39.56% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)76.24% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    KuPS 44.2%
    Derry City 27.17%
    Draw 28.62%
KuPSDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 14.11%
2-0 @ 8.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 44.2%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 27.17%

How you voted: KuPS vs Derry

KuPS
78.6%
Draw
21.4%
Derry City
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 7.45pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Derry
2-1
KuPS
Patching (69'), Kavanagh (79')
Kavanagh (17'), Connolly (44')
Vidjeskog (45' pen.)
Vidjeskog (20')
rhs 2.0
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