UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 20, 2023 at 4pm UK

Victoria Stadium

Europa
2 - 3
Dukagjini

Quintana (38' pen.), Vera (87')
Hernandez (31'), Quintana (66'), Olmos (78'), Tello (90+5')
Pozo (29'), Heredia (88'), Cipri (90+13')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zulfiu (23' pen., 79'), Shala (47')
Kameraj (11'), Basriu (30'), Hugo (35'), Shala (37'), Feka (88')
Shabani (29')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Europa FC and Dukagjini.

Form, Standings, Stats

Europa FC

Last Game: Dukagjini 2-1 Europa
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Dukagjini

Last Game: Dukagjini 2-1 Europa
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Europa FC win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Dukagjini had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Europa FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Dukagjini win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Europa FC	Draw	Dukagjini
43.09% ( -0.01)	24.37% ( 0.03)	32.54% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 59.07% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.45% (

-0.15)

43.55% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.06% (

-0.15)

65.94% (

0.15)

Europa FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64% (

-0.07)

20.35% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.24% (

-0.11)

52.75% (

0.11)

Dukagjini Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17% (

-0.09)

25.83% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.2% (

-0.12)

60.79% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Europa FC 43.09%

Dukagjini 32.54%

Draw 24.36%

Europa FC	Draw	Dukagjini
2-1 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 43.09%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.36%	1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.54%