Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Stabaek Football win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.