Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 14.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Stabaek Football win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
