MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 11:53:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 17
Aug 4, 2024 at 4pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
2 - 1
Sandefjord

Johansen (13' pen.), Emanuel Halvorsen (68')
Meister (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mettler (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Sandefjord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Last Game: Lillestrom 2-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Sandefjord

All competitions
Last Game: Sandefjord 4-3 Haugesund
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Sandefjord

 Sarpsborg and Sandefjord have enjoyed a solid run of results in recent weeks and we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Sarpsborg Stadion. However, Michelsen's men boast an outstanding home record in this fixture and we fancy them to come out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sarpsborg 08 in this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawSandefjord
51.46% (0.237 0.24) 21.8% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 26.74% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 64.48% (0.126 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21% (0.233 0.23)34.78% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.25% (0.259 0.26)56.75% (-0.262 -0.26)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.17% (0.155 0.16)13.82% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.82% (0.311 0.31)41.18% (-0.314 -0.31)
Sandefjord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)25.17% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (0.013999999999996 0.01)59.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 51.46%
    Sandefjord 26.74%
    Draw 21.8%
Sarpsborg 08DrawSandefjord
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 6.88% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.28% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.021 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 51.46%
1-1 @ 9.5% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.8%
1-2 @ 6.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.8% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.74%

How you voted: Sarpsborg vs Sandefjord

Sarpsborg 08
64.7%
Draw
17.6%
Sandefjord
17.6%
17
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 7
Sandefjord
4-1
Sarpsborg
Ruud Tveter (2' pen., 60'), Al-Saed (73'), Markovic (75')
Dunsby (16'), Ottosson (30')
Johansen (51' pen.)
Franklin (27'), Wichne (45+4'), Meister (66')
Aug 6, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 17
Sandefjord
5-1
Sarpsborg
Nilsson (31', 80'), Nyenetue (45+2'), Al-Saed (74'), Kristiansen (90' og.)
Erik Odegaard (0')
Torp (1')
Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (24')
Jul 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 12
Sarpsborg
6-1
Sandefjord
Fardal Opseth (10', 20'), Torp (11'), Soltvedt (51'), Lundqvist (66'), Wichne (79')
Taaje (45')
Smeulers (32')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 24
Sandefjord
1-1
Sarpsborg
Ofkir (44')
Engvall (78')
Jul 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 12
Sarpsborg
4-3
Sandefjord
Maigaard (8', 19'), Saletros (54' pen.), Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (70')
Vidtun Nilsen (39')
Ruud Tveter (22'), Vega (44'), Ofkir (73')
Ayer (77'), Smeulers (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt00000000
2SK BrannBrann00000000
3Bryne00000000
4Fredrikstad00000000
5HamKam00000000
6FK HaugesundHaugesund00000000
7KFUM OsloKFUM00000000
8KristiansundKristiansund00000000
9MoldeMolde00000000
10RosenborgRosenborg00000000
11SandefjordSandefjord00000000
12Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg00000000
13StromsgodsetStromsgodset00000000
14Tromso ILTromso00000000
15Valerenga FotballValerenga00000000
16Viking FKViking FK00000000
> Norwegian Eliteserien Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!