MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 16:50:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 14
Jul 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
2 - 3
HamKam

Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (15'), Lundqvist (24')
Kristiansen (6')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Udahl (7' pen.), Olav Norheim (35'), Lonstad Onsrud (37')
Alexander Kirkevold (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and HamKam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stromsgodset 5-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, July 9 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 2-1 Aalesund
Friday, July 7 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Sarpsborg 08 3-1 HamKam

HamKam have lost all six away league games this season, and we think that their away-day struggles will be exploited by a Sarpsborg side who have won three of their last four home matches in the Eliteserien. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 69.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for HamKam had a probability of 12.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a HamKam win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawHamKam
69.93% (0.393 0.39) 17.1% (-0.119 -0.12) 12.97% (-0.276 -0.28)
Both teams to score 56.39% (-0.406 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.1% (-0.121 -0.12)33.89% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.25% (-0.137 -0.14)55.75% (0.133 0.13)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.31% (0.054000000000002 0.05)8.69% (-0.058100000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.07% (0.136 0.14)29.92% (-0.142 -0.14)
HamKam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.75% (-0.486 -0.49)38.24% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.99% (-0.471 -0.47)75% (0.468 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 69.93%
    HamKam 12.97%
    Draw 17.1%
Sarpsborg 08DrawHamKam
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.113 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 8.08% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.93% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.74% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.41% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 2.32% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.98% (0.021 0.02)
6-1 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 69.93%
1-1 @ 7.8% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.32% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 17.1%
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-1 @ 3.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 12.97%

How you voted: Sarpsborg vs HamKam

Sarpsborg 08
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
HamKam
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 21
Sarpsborg
2-1
HamKam
Skalevik (90+3'), Heintz (90+6' pen.)
Hernandez-Foster (5')
Jun 26, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 11
HamKam
3-2
Sarpsborg
Melgalvis (17'), Eriksen (44'), Enkerud (65')
Melgalvis (67'), Daskevics (90+1')
Kurucay (14' og.), Lindseth (42')
Horn (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt23155353213250
2MoldeMolde24135654282644
3SK BrannBrann23127441281343
4Viking FKViking FK23117542301240
5RosenborgRosenborg2311483934537
6Fredrikstad2310763129237
7KFUM OsloKFUM237972728-130
8HamKam237792928128
9Tromso ILTromso2484122833-528
10StromsgodsetStromsgodset2376102736-927
11KristiansundKristiansund226882732-526
12Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg2375113347-1426
13FK HaugesundHaugesund2365122336-1323
14SandefjordSandefjord2257103138-722
15Odd2357112137-1622
16Lillestrom2363142546-2121


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