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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 18
Aug 11, 2024 at 4pm UK
Skagerak Arena

Odd
1 - 1
Sarpsborg

Ingebrigtsen (29' pen.)
Ronningen Jorgensen (49'), Miettinen (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Christiansen (51')
Koch (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Odd and Sarpsborg 08, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Odd 2-0 Stromsgodset
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 2-1 Sandefjord
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Odd 2-1 Sarpsborg 08

Despite Odd being the joint-lowest goalscorers in the division, we cannot ignore Sarpsborg's poor defensive record. With that in mind, we are backing home advantage to play its part with Odd edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Odd had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Odd win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
OddDrawSarpsborg 08
36.43% (0.552 0.55) 23.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 39.61% (-0.559 -0.56)
Both teams to score 61.58% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.31% (0.029999999999994 0.03)40.69% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.93% (0.030999999999999 0.03)63.07% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Odd Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (0.303 0.3)22.31% (-0.3 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (0.451 0.45)55.78% (-0.447 -0.45)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27% (-0.246 -0.25)20.73% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (-0.391 -0.39)53.36% (0.395 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Odd 36.43%
    Sarpsborg 08 39.62%
    Draw 23.94%
OddDrawSarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36.43%
1-1 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 39.62%

How you voted: Odd vs Sarpsborg

Odd
41.4%
Draw
24.1%
Sarpsborg 08
34.5%
29
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 2
Sarpsborg
0-1
Odd
Temesgen Tewelde (23')
Owusu (52'), Miettinen (78'), Baccay (87'), Svendsen (90+1')
Aug 19, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 19
Odd
0-3
Sarpsborg

Ruud (61'), Hagen (88')
Maigaard (38', 53'), Wendel Meister (90+2')
Lundqvist (84')
Apr 23, 2023 4pm
Aug 20, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 19
Odd
1-0
Sarpsborg
Jevtovic (25')
Aas (78'), Wahlstedt (83'), Hoff (84')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Sarpsborg
1-0
Odd
Fardal Opseth (63')
Molins (45+4')

Ruud (45'), Hagen (63')
Hagen (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt30188471314062
2SK BrannBrann30178555332259
3Viking FKViking FK30169561392257
4RosenborgRosenborg30165952391353
5MoldeMolde30157864362852
6Fredrikstad3014973935451
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset30108123240-838
8KFUM OsloKFUM30910113536-137
9Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg30107134355-1237
10SandefjordSandefjord3097144146-534
11KristiansundKristiansund30810123245-1334
12HamKam3089133439-533
13Tromso ILTromso3096153444-1033
14FK HaugesundHaugesund3096152946-1733
15Lillestrom3073203363-3024
16Odd3058172654-2823


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