Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.77%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.